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After 12 Consecutive Quarters on the Rise, Singapore Grade A Office Rental Growth Takes a Pause

  • 3 min read
  • CBRE Group, Inc. NYSE: CBRE

In brief

CBRE Research says average Singapore Core CBD Grade A office rents held at $11.95 per square foot per month in Q2 2024, ending a run of 12 consecutive quarters of growth. The firm attributes the pause partly to additional vacancies and greater tenant choice following the completion of IOI Central Boulevard Towers and amid upcoming lease expiries. CBRE reported 0.17 million square feet of net demand in the Core CBD, excluding committed space at the new tower, with legal firms and some Chinese technology companies contributing. The company maintained its forecast for 2% to 3% rental growth through 2024, noting that rents had risen 0.4% in the first half. It also cited limited expected CBD development completions from 2025 to 2027 as a factor in future supply conditions.

Key takeaways

  • Core CBD Grade A rents were unchanged at $11.95 per square foot per month in Q2 2024, according to CBRE Research.
  • CBRE cited new office space and upcoming lease expiries as factors giving tenants more options and easing rental pressure.
  • The firm reported 0.17 million square feet of Core CBD net demand, excluding committed space at IOI Central Boulevard Towers.
  • CBRE maintained its forecast for 2% to 3% rent growth through 2024.

Temporary increase in vacancies and options for tenants mitigate the upward pressure.

Singapore, June 27, 2024 -- After 12 consecutive quarters, the Singapore Core CBD (Grade A) office rental growth is finally taking a breather, according to CBRE Research. In Q2 2024, the average rental in this category of the most sought-after offices in Singapore remained at $11.95 psf/mth to end the streak when rents have hiked 14.9% over 3 years.

David McKellar, CBRE's Head of Office Services and Occupier Services, Singapore, explained, “With the completion of IOI Central Boulevard Towers and a significant number of upcoming lease expiries, we have observed that landlords are becoming aware that tenants have more options in the market. As a result they are prioritising occupancies in their buildings and are therefore more willing to negotiate on rents.”

Tricia Song, CBRE's Head of Research for Singapore and Southeast Asia, added, “Despite the tide seemingly swinging in the tenants’ favour, rents are still supported by the flight to quality. Discerning businesses that consider real estate strategy to be part of their talent attraction and retention efforts continue to demonstrate a strong preference for buildings with superior attributes, especially those that are located within the CBD.”
Tricia follows on her point by highlighting the positive net absorption in the Core CBD. Excluding 0.55 million square feet of committed space from IOI Central Boulevard Towers (Phase 1) which completed in Q2 2024, there was still some 0.17 million sf of net demand in the Core CBD (consisting of Marina Bay, Marina Centre, Raffles Place and Shenton Way micromarkets).

CBRE notes that firms in the Legal sector and some of the Chinese technology giants have been some of the biggest contributors towards the expanded demand this quarter. These sectors have shown strong demand, in spite of perceived macro-economic uncertainties.

David elaborates, “In the Legal sector, workplace transformations have prompted firms to reassess their space requirements, leading to relocations. Some are also finding the confidence in their growth prospects to transition from serviced offices and coworking spaces to establish a more permanent presence with their own dedicated office spaces.”

“Also, while technology companies have generally remained cautious with space requirements in Singapore, with some still consolidating their footprint, one Chinese technology company has bucked the trend and capitalised on the opportunity to relocate to a new enlarged space”, he added.

In spite of this pause in rental growth, CBRE Research maintains its original forecast of 2% to 3% growth in rents for Core CBD (Grade A) offices through 2024. Till date, Core CBD (Grade A) office rents have risen 0.4% in the first half of 2024.

“While the new completions have temporarily softened the upward pressure, we may see a pick-up in H2 2024 with leasing activity for new developments gaining momentum. Flight to quality and relocation activity from redevelopment projects and transitional sites will also drive demand. More importantly, beyond the expected completions this year, there are limited completions expected in 2025 to 2027. This is especially so for the CBD, where there are no expected new developments over this period. With the tight office market ahead, astute tenants will likely plan ahead and take this limited supply into consideration when they assess their space requirements in advance”, Tricia concluded.

About CBRE Group, Inc.
CBRE Group, Inc. (NYSE:CBRE), a Fortune 500 and S&P 500 company headquartered in Dallas, is the world’s largest commercial real estate services and investment firm (based on 2023 revenue). The company has more than 130,000 employees (including Turner & Townsend employees) serving clients in more than 100 countries. CBRE serves a diverse range of clients with an integrated suite of services, including facilities, transaction and project management; property management; investment management; appraisal and valuation; property leasing; strategic consulting; property sales; mortgage services and development services. Please visit our website at www.cbre.com.

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At a glance

Company
CBRE Group, Inc.
Ticker
NYSE: CBRE
Location
Singapore

Key figures

Q2 2024 average Core CBD Grade A rent
$11.95 psf/mth
Rent increase over three years
14.9%
Committed space at IOI Central Boulevard Towers (Phase 1)
0.55 million square feet
Core CBD net demand, excluding committed tower space
0.17 million sf
CBRE forecast for 2024 Core CBD Grade A rent growth
2% to 3%
Rent increase in the first half of 2024
0.4%

People

  • David McKellarCBRE's Head of Office Services and Occupier Services, Singapore
  • Tricia SongCBRE's Head of Research for Singapore and Southeast Asia

SEC filings

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  3. Life Sciences Real Estate in Singapore – Emerging Opportunities in a Mature Market
  4. Commentary on Tender Closing at Holland Drive
  5. Singapore’s Grade A Office Market Registers 12th Consecutive Quarter of Rental Growth
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